Synopsis: With every day in August that passes it gets harder to believe that we’re supposed to be in the heart of the Monsoon. The current upper level pattern resembles more of what we typically see in May/June with dry southwesterly flow in firm control across the Desert Southwest. In fact, most of our longer range ensemble guidance keeps this pattern in place well into next week (sigh). There is some good news though as daily high temperatures should take a step back into the 107°F-110°F range the next few days. This coupled with drier conditions and morning lows back into the 80s (even some upper 70s) should at least provide some temporary relief, before another warm up arrives late weekend/early next week.
For today plan on mainly sunny skies across the region. Afternoon temperatures will climb into 107°F-109°F range around the Valley. West/southwest winds will hover in the 5-10mph range with localized breezes in 15mph range this evening. Storm activity later today will remain limited to southeastern AZ. Overnight lows will dip into the mid to lower 80s around the urban corridor with some upper 70s across outlying communities.
For tomorrow plan on another healthy dosing of sun across the lower deserts. Daytime highs will again warm into 107°F-110°F range around the Valley. West/southwest winds will remain in the light category with localized afternoon/evening gusts in the 10-15mph range. Afternoon/evening storm chances will remain relegated to far southeastern AZ. Heading into the weekend, dry and quiet weather conditions will persist. We’ll see another modest spike in temperatures with daily highs in the 110°F-112°F range. These warmer and drier conditions will then continue into the start of next week.